In my crystal-ball view, this is what is likely to happen between the medium to long-term:
- Iran will now be turned into the same situation as Syria was …. There will be some more warlike engagement …
- Russia will lend some support to Iran for a while along with China but no direct engagement …
- The Khamenei regime will be worn down and degraded like the Assad regime was …
- Once the Ayatollah is permanently taken out of the picture as Bashar Assad has been today from Syria, Iran too will have a US-Israel backed leadership in power .
- Iran’s nuclear ambitions will be shattered to pieces.
- With Iran and the GCC (OPEC +) firmly under the strategic grip and control of America and Israel, the world’s entire Energy market will henceforth be held captive by Uncle Sam. China’s energy insecurity will render it vulnerable economically leading ultimately to its military enfeeblement on the world stage.
- Russia will look on helplessly pinned down as it is in a war in Ukraine that will never end … at least not anytime in the near future.
- Palestine will be taken over by Israel … permanently . The GCC and Egypt will do very little to resist that outcome: a seaside riviera, a Mediterranean Las Vegas owned by America and managed by the new state of Greater Israel.
- USA will then at last be able to turn its full geo-strategic attention to China and the South China Sea .
- Its allies Japan from the East, Pakistan from the West and South Korea+ Philippines from the South will act in concert with America to first target North Korea and neutralise it just in the same manner as we see today Iran getting eventually neutralised.
- Both BRICS and QUAD will be rendered dysfunctional if not irrelevant.
- After that significant goal is achieved, China will then have no other choice but to be forced to come to terms with American hegemony in Asia. The world will become unipolar world again as in 1991.
End of story .
And oh, BTW, by the end of his term in office, Donald Trump will be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize and all of us can live happily ever thereafter. It will then seem to us in India that “God’s in his heaven. All’s right with the world.”
Sudarshan Madabushi